Summary
In ferns, the temperate-tropical sister clades Athyrium and Diplazium present an opportunity to study a latitudinal contrast in diversification dynamics.
We generated a taxonomically expanded molecular chronogram and used macroevolutionary models to analyze how diversification rates have changed through time, across lineages, and in concert with changes in elevation and ploidy. We tested a novel model of cladogenetic state-change in which polyploidy can arise as an infraspecific polymorphism, with diversification parameters distinct from those of pure diploids and polyploids.
Both Athyrium and Diplazium accelerated their diversification near the Oligocene-Miocene transition. In Diplazium, the rate shift is older, with subsequent net diversification somewhat slower and suggestive of diversity-dependence. In Athyrium, diversification is faster and associated with higher elevations. In both clades, polyploids have the highest rate of net accumulation but lowest (negative) net diversification, while the converse is true for polymorphic species; diploids have low rates of both net accumulation and diversification.
Diversification in Athyrium may have responded to ecological opportunities in expanding temperate habitats during the Neogene, especially in mountains, while the pattern in Diplazium suggests saturation in the tropics. Neopolyploids are generated rapidly, primarily through accelerated cladogenesis in polymorphic species, but are evolutionary dead ends.