Predator-Prey Cycles from Resonant Amplification of Demographic Stochasticity

A. J. McKane and T. J. Newman
Phys. Rev. Lett. 94, 218102 – Published 2 June 2005

Abstract

We present the simplest individual level model of predator-prey dynamics and show, via direct calculation, that it exhibits cycling behavior. The deterministic analogue of our model, recovered when the number of individuals is infinitely large, is the Volterra system (with density-dependent prey reproduction) which is well known to fail to predict cycles. This difference in behavior can be traced to a resonant amplification of demographic fluctuations which disappears only when the number of individuals is strictly infinite. Our results indicate that additional biological mechanisms, such as predator satiation, may not be necessary to explain observed predator-prey cycles in real (finite) populations.

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  • Received 18 December 2004

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.94.218102

©2005 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

A. J. McKane1 and T. J. Newman2,3

  • 1Theory Group, School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, United Kingdom
  • 2Department of Physics and Astronomy, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA
  • 3School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA

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Issue

Vol. 94, Iss. 21 — 3 June 2005

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