2001 Volume 65 Issue 10 Pages 874-878
The purpose of this study was to determine whether parameters derived from transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) could predict thromboembolism in patients with chronic nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF). Eighty-nine patients, mean age 66±9 years, who underwent TEE in 1996 to 1999 were studied. The clinical endpoint was a thromboembolic event, including transient ischemic attack (TIA). Sixty-seven patients (75%) were anticoagulated with warfarin after TEE. After a follow-up period of 29±10 months, 1 patient died suddenly, 4 had a thromboembolism, and 3 had a TIA; the annual embolic event rate was 3.3%. Left atrial appendage (LAA) thrombus (86% vs 17%, p<0.001), LAA dysfunction (LAA velocity <20 cm/s; 71% vs 25%, p=0.009), and severe LA spontaneous echo contrast (29% vs 2%, p=0.002) were more prevalent in patients with an embolic event than in those without. In patients with LAA thrombus, the annual event rate was 11% as compared with 1.2% in those without (p=0.004). On the Cox proportional hazards model analysis, LAA thrombus (chi-square 7.0, p=0.008), severe LA spontaneous echo contrast (chi-square 7.0, p=0.008), and LAA dysfunction (chi-square 5.9, p=0.015) were significantly related to thromboembolism. Multivariate analysis revealed that LAA thrombus (chi-square 5.5, p=0.019) and LAA dysfunction (chi-square 4.0, p=0.045) were the independent predictors. In conclusion, TEE parameters, particularly the presence of LAA thrombus, can be used to assess thromboembolic potential in patients with chronic nonvalvular AF. (Jpn Circ J 2001; 65: 874 - 878)