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HomeTerritorial facts and trends in the EU rural areas within 2015-2030
Territorial facts and trends in the EU rural areas within 2015-2030
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Diversity is a particular characteristic of EU rural areas in many aspects – geographical, landscape, socio-economic, demographic, cultural and environmental. These areas have been undergoing significant changes over the last decades due to various factors such as EU policies (especially the Common Agriculture Policy), overall demographic and migration trends, deployment of transport infrastructure, globalisation, intensification of agricultural production, abandonment of marginal lands, urban development, etc. Further changes can be expected in the future because of policy reforms, socio-economic developments and climate change. The current analysis aims to highlight selected key territorial facts and trends in EU rural areas at pan-European, national (NUTS 0) and regional (NUTS 3) level within 2015-2030. These trends are related to the status and potential evolution of rural population, agricultural land and agricultural land abandonment, as well as to their macro-economic aggregation into agriculture-driven clusters. A snapshot of employment and gross value added in agriculture by 2015 is provided, too. The analysis is performed by applying the LUISA Territorial Modelling Platform of the European Commissions' Joint Research Centre and in particular - its latest Territorial Reference Scenario 2017. The LUISA Territorial Modelling Platform is aligned to the main modelling tools, used by the EU-EC services, as well as it duly takes into account the existing EU regulations. The LUISA reference projections are therefore coherent with the projections of the other mainstream EU/EC tools in support to policy-making. The goal of the LUISA scenarios is not to predict the future, but to anticipate the likely implications from certain policy actions, i.e. exploring relations "what… if", in the context of a broad set of inter-related factors and complex systems.
- Published:
- Corporate author(s): Joint Research Centre (European Commission)
- Personal author(s): Ribeiro Barranco, R ; Kavalov, Boyan ; Lavalle, Carlo ; Batista e Silva, F ; Baranzelli, Claudia ; Jacobs-Crisioni, Chris ; Perpiña Castillo, C ; Diogo, V
- Themes: Regional policy and regional economies , Agriculture — Forestry — Fisheries
- Subject: abandoned land , agricultural land , agricultural situation , farming sector , research report , rural population , rural region , socioeconomic conditions , urbanisation
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| ISSN 1831-9424 | ISBN 978-92-79-98121-0 | DOI 10.2760/525571 | Catalogue number KJ-NA-29482-EN-N |
- Released on EU Publications:
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