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1 June 2006 Statistical estimation of degree days of mosquito development under fluctuating temperatures in the field
Weidong Gu, Robert J. Novak
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Abstract

Degree-days are important parameters for developing predictive models of mosquito populations. Conventional methods of estimation of degree-days are typically applied to observations under constant temperatures in the laboratory. These methods are difficult to apply in the field where temperatures fluctuate. For estimating degree-days of larval developments of mosquitoes in the field, we applied Dennis' stochastic phenological model to a semi-field observation of Culex restuans. A parametric bootstrap approach was introduced to estimate standard errors of the parameters. We found that the estimated degree-days varied with various assumptions about the temperature base. Given the latter, the model can satisfactorily estimate the degree-days of larval and pupal developments of Cx. resturans. This approach is especially useful to measure spatio-temporal variability in larval development among various types of aquatic habitats.

Weidong Gu and Robert J. Novak "Statistical estimation of degree days of mosquito development under fluctuating temperatures in the field," Journal of Vector Ecology 31(1), 107-112, (1 June 2006). https://doi.org/10.3376/1081-1710(2006)31[107:SEODDO]2.0.CO;2
Received: 28 September 2005; Accepted: 30 November 2005; Published: 1 June 2006
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KEYWORDS
bootstrap
Culex restuans
degree day
maximum likelihood estimation
phenology model
threshold
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